Daylight length on November 10th this year is identical to November 10th last year, and the year before that. A doe's reproductive system is keyed off that signal, not off temperature, moon phase, or barometric pressure. Multi-year breeding-date studies — fetal aging from harvested does — consistently show the same median conception dates within a few days, regardless of how warm or cold the fall was.
What changes year to year is daytime visibility of rut behavior. A warm 70-degree first week of November pushes most movement into the cooler nighttime hours, and hunters report a "weak rut." A cold front during the same calendar week pushes movement into shooting light and hunters report an "on-fire rut." The biology is identical; the visibility is not.
Mast crops also shift apparent rut intensity. A heavy white oak year scatters does across thousands of acres of woods, so bucks have to travel more to find them — visible cruising goes up. A mast failure clusters does on the few remaining food sources — does are easier to find, so bucks travel less.
For the photoperiod-locked dates by state and DMU, see our rut date pages. For mast-driven movement context this fall, see our mast reports.